Ratings News - 21st October 2014

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
Thanks to ED for the Top 25 Numbers

Gotham 2.8
Sleepy 1.7
Originals 0.8
Jane 0.6
DWTS 2.1
Castle 1.6
Voice 3.7
Blacklist 2.6
Big Bang 4.6
Millers 1.9
Scorpion 2.4
NCIS LA 1.3

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Monday Ratings
“The Big Bang Theory” on CBS Bids Adieu From Monday

Monday 10/20/14

Household
Rating/Share
ABC 7.8/12
NBC 7.5/12
CBS 7.0/11
Fox 3.9/ 6
CW 1.1/ 2

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Monday 10/21/13:
CBS: +52, CW: +10, Fox: + 5, NBC: – 5, ABC: – 7
———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. As always, these overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “Dancing With the Stars” (ABC), “Gotham” (Fox), “The Voice” (NBC), “Scorpion” (CBS), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Honorable Mention:
“Castle” (ABC), “NCIS: Los Angeles” (CBS)

-Disappointing:
“The Millers” (CBS)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
Nothing…there was something for everyone last night.

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
The Big 3 dominated the Monday household overnights once again, with first-place ABC besting No. 2 NBC and No. 3 CBS by 4 and 11 percent, respectively. But the home of “The Voice,” NBC, is a lock for dominance in all the key young adult demos and CBS remains the most improved.

In season-premiere news, sophomore CBS sitcom “The Millers,” now featuring Sean Hayes, opened with a third-place 6.0 rating/9 share in the household overnights at 8:30 p.m. Comparably, that was 18 percent above the 5.1/ 8 for year-ago occupant “2 Broke Girls.” But the overnight retention for “The Millers” out of “The Big Bang Theory” (#1 for the night: 10.2/16 at 8 p.m.) was weak at 59 percent. And airing out of “2 Broke Girls” effective next Monday will certainly cause slippage. While no one expects any show to hold the majority of a lead-in as strong as “Big Bang,” below 60 percent is not a positive.

CBS would be wise to keep returning “Mom” out of “The Big Bang Theory” on Thursday all season.

Next on CBS was episode five of drama “Scorpion,” which rose to a 7.2/11 (#3) from 9-10 p.m. and is a shoo-in for a full season renewal. Although “Scorpion” minus the “Big Bang Theory” anchor support next week (and beyond) could also lose steam, overnight growth of 20 percent from “The Millers” last night is a positive worth noting. Yes, BH…”Scorpion” looks like a definite keeper!

Relocated “NCIS: Los Angeles” closed the night for the Eye net with a third-place 5.7/ 9 at 10 p.m., which was a hefty 63 percent above failed year-ago occupant “Hostages” (3.5/ 6 on 10/21/13). First in the hour was NBC’s “The Blacklist” at a 6.3/10, which was seven percent below the 6.8/12 one year earlier. And second was “Castle” at a 5.8/10, which slipped year-to-year by 16 percent. Despite the minor losses, 10 p.m. on Monday is a rare example of a time period where all three scripted dramas are working.

On ABC, “Dancing With the Stars,” featuring guest co-host Leah Remini, scored an 8.8/13 from 8-10 p.m. Comparably, that was just four percent below the 9.2/14 on the year-ago evening. Competing “The Voice” on NBC also had some year-to-year slippage (down five percent), but an 8.1/12 from 8-10 p.m. is still a rock-solid performance that should translate into a high 3-rating among adults 18-49.

In week two news, “Jane the Virgin” on The CW scored a 1.0/ 2 at 9 p.m. (#5), which was nine percent below the 1.1/ 2 one week earlier. And that translated into 1.61 million viewers and a 0.6 rating/2 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live + Same Day data. But this was still 25 percent above year-ago occupant “Beauty and the Beast” (0.8/ 1 on 10/21/13), and the overnight retention out of relocated “The Originals” (#5: 1.1/ 2) was 91 percent. Note to The CW: please be patient. Usual “Jane the Virgin” is a show worth keeping.

“The Originals,” meanwhile, was equal to year-ago occupant “Hart of Dixie.”

On Fox, full season-renewed “Gotham” was on the overnight map with a 4.6/ 7 from 8-9 p.m., which was just four percent below the 4.8/ 7 one week earlier (which resulted into a 2.4/ 7 among adults 18-49). And it led into a 3.2/ 5 at 9 p.m. (#4) for sophomore “Sleepy Hollow,” which held 70 percent of the “Gotham” lead-in. Given the stellar reported DVR usage for “Gotham,” consider it a “winner.”

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

Source:

Marc Berman@tvmediainsights

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

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Additional Ratings Resources

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Renew/Cancel

Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.

Ratings Database

Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.

Full Season Tables

The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos

Ratings Scorecard

See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.