Ratings News - 19th November 2014

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

Top 25 Markets - 18-49
Thanks to Ed for the Top 25 Numbers

Master Chef Jr 1.9
New Girl 1.9
Mindy 1.4
NCIS 2.3
NCIS NO 1.7
POI 1.3
Flash 1.6
Supernatural 0.9
Voice 2.7
Marry Me 1.5
AAB 1.2
Chicago Fire 1.7
Shark Tank (r) 1.2
AOS 1.9
Forever 1.1

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

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Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Tuesday Ratings
Clean Sweep for CBS; Sitcoms on NBC and Fox Underwhelm

Tuesday 11/18/14

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 9.0/14
NBC 5.1/ 8
ABC 3.2/ 5
Fox 2.7/ 4
CW 2.1/ 3

-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Tuesday 11/19/13:
CW: +110, Fox: +12, NBC: – 9, CBS: -10, ABC: -35

———-

Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

-Winners:
“NCIS” (CBS), “The Voice” (NBC), “The Flash” (CW), “NCIS: New Orleans” (CBS), “Chicago Fire” (NBC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“Marry Me” (NBC), “New Girl” (Fox), “About a Boy” (NBC), “The Mindy Project” (Fox), “Forever” (ABC)

———-

Ratings Breakdown:
CBS scored a clean Tuesday sweep in the household overnights, besting NBC by a hefty 76 percent with its combination of “NCIS” (11.0 rating/17 share – #1 for the night), spin-off “NCIS: New Orleans” (10.0/15) and “Person of Interest” (6.1/10). But the distance between the two networks will be considerably smaller in adults 18-49 care of NBC’s “The Voice,” which was on the map with a 7.1/11 (#2) from 8-9 p.m.

NBC, unfortunately, is not capitalizing on the lead-in support from “The Voice” as a result of 9-10 p.m. sitcoms “Marry Me” (#2: 3.6/ 5) and sophomore “About a Boy” (#3: 2.9/ 5), with “Marry Me” down by 50 percent in the overnights from the 8:30 p.m. portion of “The Voice” (7.2/11). But “Chicago Fire” built from 66 percent from “About a Boy,” with a second-place 4.8/ 8 from 10-11 p.m. And that should be enough to win the hour in the key demographics.

Over at ABC, a repeat of Shark Tank” stepped in for canceled sitcoms “Selfie” and “Manhattan Love Story,” and it averaged a third-place 3.3/ 5 at 8 p.m. Next was relocated “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD” at a third-place 3.1/ 5 from 9-10 p.m., which should still translate into some interest in the young adult demos. And that led into a last-place 3.2/ 5 at 10 p.m. for freshman drama “Forever,” which if normal patterns prevail will drop in the vicinity of 33 percent in adults 18-49 from “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD.” ABC may want to rethink that full season renewal for “Forever.”

Elsewhere, recent returnee “MasterChef Junior” on Fox may not seem like much with a 3.2/ 5 (#4) from 8-9 p.m. But that same overnight rating last week translated into a 1.8 rating/6 share among adults 18-49, which is a vast improvement from short-lived fall entry “Utopia.” Next were 9-10 p.m. comedies “New Girl” (#4: 2.3/ 4) and “The Mindy Project” (#4: 2.0/ 3), which continue to underwhelm in all categories. From a traditional ratings standpoint, there was no need for Fox to extend the current episode order for “The Mindy Project.”

With “Selfie” and “Manhattan Love Story” gone, and “Marry Me,” “About a Boy,” “New Girl” and “The Mindy Project” all struggling, viewers apparently are not looking for a chuckle – or two – on Tuesday.

On The CW, “The Flash” is the real deal with a 2.6/ 4 at 8 p.m., which translated into a 1.4/ 4 in adults 18-49 based on this same overnight household rating last week. And that remains a positive for The CW. Veteran “Supernatural” followed with a 1.6/ 2 (#5) at 9 p.m., which was one-tenth of a rating point (or seven percent) above the 1.5/ 2 from one week earlier.

Source: Nielsen Media Research data

Source:

Marc Berman@tvmediainsights

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above.

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

If you are new to ratings or still confused, we recommend you read this excellent
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Additional Ratings Resources

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Renew/Cancel

Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.

Ratings Database

Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.

Full Season Tables

The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos

Ratings Scorecard

See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.