Ratings News - 6th March 2015

Today's Early Overnight Ratings

This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database. (See the About section below for details about ratings)

Tables being updated live. Please refresh for updates.

Last Week Ratings

If you would like to see last weeks ratings for the same day so that you can compare, click this link.

Early Ratings Analysis

The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)

For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry.

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman.

Metered Market Thursday Ratings
Respectable Sampling for “American Crime” on ABC

Thursday 3/04/15
Metered Market Results

Household
Rating/Share
CBS 6.8/11
ABC 6.6/11
Fox 4.7/ 7
NBC 3.5/ 6
CW 0.5/ 1

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-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Thursday 3/05/14:
NBC: +59, ABC: +37, Fox: + 2, CBS: no change, CW: -67

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Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account additional benchmarks including the expected Live + Same Day demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.

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-Winners:
“The Big Bang Theory” (CBS), “The Odd Couple” (CBS), “Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC), “Scandal” (ABC), “The Blacklist” (NBC)

-Honorable Mention:
“Mom” (CBS)

-Respectable Sampling:
“American Crime” (ABC)

-Losers (excluding repeats):
“The Slap” (NBC), “Backstrom” (Fox), “Allegiance” (NBC)

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Ratings Breakdown:
CBS inched past ABC for Thursday overnight dominance with a two-tenth of a rating point (or three percent) advantage. Particularly positive on the Eye net was household growth of seven percent week-to-week for episode three of the revival of “The Odd Couple,” which led the 8:30 p.m. half-hour at a 7.6 rating/12 share. Comparably, this was also seven percent above year-ago occupant “The Millers” (7.1/11 on 3/06/14). And the retention for “The Odd Couple” out of lead-in “The Big Bang Theory” (#1: 11.1/17 at 8 p.m.) was 68 percent, which was two percent above the 66 percent last week. In other words, Matthew Perry’s post-“Friends” losing streak (think “Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip,” “Mr. Sunshine” and “Go On”) could be over (if, of course, “The Odd Couple” remains out of “The Big Bang Theory”).

Three-week household overnight track for “The Odd Couple”: 8.1/13 – 7.1/11 – 7.6/12).

Next on CBS was an encore telecast of “The Big Bang Theory” at 9 p.m. (#2: 6.3/10), followed by relocated “Mom” (#2: 5.7/ 9 at 9:30 p.m.), featuring the riotous return of Octavia Spencer, and three-year old drama “Elementary” (#2: 4.9/ 9), which is a shoo-in to return next season because of its lucrative off-network deal. This has never been what you would refer to as a hit series.

In series-premiere news, “American Crime” opened on ABC with a first-place 6.1/11 in the household overnights from 10-11 p.m. Comparably, this was just eight percent below the 6.6/12 for the season-finale of former time period occupant “How I Met Your Mother” last week. This was equal to year-ago occupant “Scandal.” And the retention for “American Crime” out of lead-in “Scandal” (#1: 7.4/12 from 9-10 p.m.) was very acceptable at 82 percent. While most shows do drop from 10 p.m. to 10:30 p.m. due to the decreased HUT levels, erosion of 12 percent for “American Crime” by half-hour (6.5/11 to 5.7/10) is the only initial overnight observation that might be a concern. Let’s see what the demos look like.

Earlier in the evening on ABC was veteran “Grey’s Anatomy” at a 6.5/10 from 8-9 p.m., which was seven percent above the 6.1/11 one week earlier and almost triple the overnight performance for failed year-ago occupant “Once Upon a Time in Wonderland” (2.2/ 4 on 3/6/14).

Elsewhere, heavily DVR dependent “The Blacklist” on NBC grew by six percent week to week, with a third-place 5.5/ 9 from 9-10 p.m. Comparably, that was 104 percent above recent lead-in entry “The Slap” (#4: 2.7/ 4 at 8 p.m.). But week five of lead-out drama “Allegiance” slipped to a series-low 2.2/ 4 at 10 p.m., which only increases the rapidly ticking cancellation clock.

On Fox, there was more minor overnight growth for recently introduced Rainn Wilson drama “Backstrom” (#4: 2.9/ 5 at 9 p.m.: + 7 percent from one week earlier). But retention out of the 8:30 p.m. portion of lead-in “American Idol” (6.8/10) was still lacking at 43 percent. And this was not much better than the 2.4/ 4 for failed drama “Rake” one year earlier. Overall, “American Idol” scored a 6.6/10 from 8-9 p.m., which was on par from the year-ago evening.

The CW closed this first Thursday in March with a 0.5/ 1 each (#5) for encore telecasts of “The Vampire Diaries” and “Supernatural.”

Source: Nielsen Media Research

Source:

Marc Berman@tvmediainsights

About the Daily Ratings

Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database.

The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).

Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.

Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).

Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database. The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.

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Additional Ratings Resources

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Our Cancellation/Renewal predictions for the current season.

Ratings Database

Historical Ratings Database for nearly all major US shows going back to their first episodes.

Full Season Tables

The current season full ratings tables for both Total Viewers and 18-49 Demos

Ratings Scorecard

See how all the shows stack up against each other in the Ratings Scorecard Table.